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Tuesday, March 19 • 14:35 - 15:25
Forecasting in Complex Systems

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"When will it be done?"

For ages this has been one of the first questions customers have.

Over time we have stepped away from traditional planning as it was unreliable and left behind estimation poker as it was not good enough. In Kanban systems, probabilistic forecasting turned out to be a good approach -- yet there are still open questions.

What if there are multiple points where work can enter (or leave) the system, if certain steps might be skipped, or if work may also flow backwards? Are there ways to do reliable forecasting in such a system? The power of maths may offer a way and in this talk you can learn how it works using Markov Chains.

Video & slides

avatar for Olga Heismann

Olga Heismann

Agile Coach, Leanovate
Olga Heismann works at Leanovate in Berlin, Germany in the field of agile methods and organizational development. She grasps every opportunity to facilitate. What helps her in this? Logical thinking is her great strength. Initially Olga is a mathematician and software developer. Besides... Read More →

Tuesday March 19, 2019 14:35 - 15:25 GMT
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